Trainer Angles Racing Picks & Tips - The 18 ANGLES eBook

    
(Please see our Maiden Races Handicapping on our Maiden Races page)!


Please visit our new website for free betting & handicapping tips, at:
https://www.horseracingpicksandtips.com

All the 18 angles are our own original text, and not a copy from some web page on
the net.
These angles are known to many players, so you'll see them around in quite a few
places. However, this is our own!

Horse Racing - Bet To Win Only
Betting Consistency
How To Bet The Favorite
Betting Favorites And False Favorites                
Betting The Beaten Favorite
Dropping In Class
Switching Back In Class
The Class Drop Down                                                             
Switching Distances
Important - See end of this article for info on below 9 remaining angles!
Switching To Top Jockeys
Exiting A Key Race
Blinkers On Or Off
Using Lasix For The First Time
Betting Recently Claimed Horses
Horses Coming Off A Layoff
The Bouncing Horse
The Improving Horse - Early Speed
                     
Race Shape Running Styles                                       
                                              

1) Horse Racing - Bet To Win Only
It is beyond us why so many bettors allocate the majority of their capital on trifectas,
superfectas, exactas and such.
Whatever happened to the good old win bet?
It is so hard to find a winner in the first place, and you need to add insult to injury by
looking to find the place, the show and the fourth horse? Why? And after banging
your head against the wall, you finally come up with something "real good", that in no
way it can lose.
You're all set after you placed your bets in, and we're sure you spent a heck of a lot
more than two dollars, just to watch your fourth pick in the superfecta, win the race,
at 10/1, and the other top 3 picks complete the superfecta.
All this, because you placed your bets without taking insurance, by betting the other
longshot in the super, to win.
If you had a cold (straight) super, you lost.
Now if you thought highly enough of the horse that you placed in the fourth slot,
then you should have bet him to win.
When bettors look at a handicapper's report or a consensus, and they see the top 3
or 4 horses, immediately they assume that they will finish in that particular order.
They don't realize that any of the 3 or 4 choices can win the race, at long odds.
So it only makes sense when you have a cold superfecta, to have your 3rd. or 4th.
choice bet to win as well, especially (and really only especially), if it's at 7/1 or better.
Remember this and the next time you bet on exotics, bet to win as well.














2) Betting Racing Consistency
Bet a horse which was the betting favorite at least 3 or 4 times in his last 10 past
performance lines.
The favorite is noted with an asterisk (*) next to his odds. The horse had to have
finished in the money in at least 50% of his past 10 races, and win at least 3 out of
his last 10 races as well.
This angle is about consistency.
A horse that is good enough to come in the money at least 50% and win at least
30% out of his last 10 races, is a good, safe and consistent horse.
Even better if the horse runs around the same conditions and distance today, and did
not win or place in his last or last two races.
The betting public, will sometimes overlook this type of horse.
The odds might not be as high, but sometimes they are.
You can bet on this angle alone.














3) How To Bet The Favorite (This #3 title is also a link - please click on it)!
There are two types of favorite horses.
One that is bet early on the tote board and the one that is bet late, as you approach
the start of the race.
The ones that are bet early are the most reliable ones, as it indicates that the farm
and the insiders are betting.
By early betting, we mean the first 5 minutes into the betting session.
Mid and late betting comes from the public and supposedly the 'smart, computerized'
money.
We trust the early money (the farm and the insiders).
Also, odds wise, this is how we define a favorite...
A true favorite is a horse that is being bet at even money or below. Period.
Between 6/5 and 2/1, does not make a horse a real heavy favorite. Just a lukewarm
one.
Between 2/1 and 4/1, the horse is not being favored at all as a real favorite.
When you have a race with one or two 'favorites' at 2/1, then any other contender in
the race can win.
There has to be enough money bet on the horse (farm, insiders), to drive the horse
down to even money or below.
If that is not the case, then it means that there is not enough confidence placed on
that particular horse. He or she, stands a fairly good chance of winning, but not good
enough.
The favorites win about 30% of their races, and place (run second) about 50% of
their races.
We are talking about true favorites (even money and below).
Since they place more often than they win, the correct way to bet these favorites, is
to bet them in the place slot. A smaller profit, but a much, much safer bet.
We do not believe in show betting, and neither does a true professional bettor.
You can make a substantial bet to place on the heavy favorite, and cover yourself with
a small exacta bet, with the favorite as key, on top, and the true contenders at the
bottom of the exacta, triple or superfecta.
And the true favorites are even more reliable in stake races, allowance races or high
claiming races, especially at major ovals.
Also, if the field is higher than 8 horses, then the even money or below favorite,
becomes an even more solid play.
This is how you should look at and approach the favorites.














4) Betting Favorites And False Favorites
The favorite horse in a race wins at an average rate of 30% of the time. That means
he wins 3 out of 10 races on average. That is a well known established fact at all race
tracks throughout the country.
(This #4 title above, is also a link - please click on it)!
Anyone ignoring this fact is not only incapable of evaluating his chances at the track,
but is also not qualified in advising anyone else, on horse racing handicapping.
It is 'normal' to sneer at the chalk players, which are the bettors that bet nothing but
the favorites.
These players are saying that the crowds - the betting public -, are correct one third
of the time and wrong two thirds of the time.
They are saying that the secret to success at horse racing, is to part company with
the crowd , by avoiding the favorites, and trying to bet the other two thirds of the
races in which the crowd is wrong.
This type of advice is does not make any sense whatsoever. It is true that the crowd
is wrong two thirds of the time, but read on please...
At most major tracks, in most races, the field of horses varies from anywhere
between 7 to 11 horses. Let's average it to 9 horses in a race.
Also, on average there are about 9 races carded on a racing day, but of course
sometimes we have 10 to 13 races on special occasions days. But we'll stick to the 9
races per card, to make things simple.
9 horses in a race, times 9 races, means an average of 81 horses will be running on
that day.
The betting public (the crowd), picks 9 favorite horses to win on that particular day
(they do it every day, right?).
Out of the 9 horses that the betting public picks to win, 3 of them will win without fail,
over the long haul.
Now, anyone else that thinks it's easier to find the winners, out of the 72 remaining
horses that the crowd did not favor, is hugely mistaking.
Just because the non-favorites win the other two thirds of the races, it does not
mean that they have more than double a chance of winning the races.
Actually, without handicapping, we know nothing about the non-favorites.
But we know one established fact about the favorites, and that is that they win one
race out of every three races, of course not consecutively, but over the long haul.
Does anyone know about any non-favorites, capable of doing that? We doubt it very
much.
So now, as you can see, there is nothing wrong with betting the favorites.
Now of course, you cannot and should not bet on just any favorite horse. Some
horses in a race deserve to be favorites and some do not.
How can you tell by handicapping a race which horse is the solid favorite and which is
not?
Good question...
The good handicappers will accept the fact that favorites in allowance and stakes
races, will win more often than the favorites in other races, such as claiming or maiden
races.
Also a favorite horse that is bet at even money or below, stands a much greater
chance of winning than a horse that is bet at between 6/5 and 2/1.
This is what most professional handicappers look at, when it comes to finding the
False Favorite in a race. A false favorite can exhibit one or more of the following
profiles:
-- Morning line favorite, that goes off at higher odds than his morning line. For
example a 7/5 morning line horse going off at 3/1 or higher.
-- Horses that are trying new surfaces or distances.
-- A horse that was claimed in his last race, even more so if the trainer is not as good
as the previous trainer, and especially if the horse is being dropped two or more class
levels down, right after the horse was claimed.
-- Horses running in a low level claiming races or bottom level races at any track,
especially low level race tracks.
-- A claiming horse dropping in class after a layoff of at least 30 days or more.
-- A horse that won his or hers last race as a claimer and is being entered at the
same claiming price today. Something could be wrong with the horse, otherwise he
would have been entered in a higher claiming race, after a win.
-- Horse that ran a very high speed figure in his last race compared to all his figures.
It's a high possibility that the horse will not win today, in other words after that high
speed figure the horse will bounce today, as the term bounce means.
-- A horse that is still a maiden, after running 5 times and yet not being able to win,
even if he came in the money all of the 5 times. Very dangerous proposition.
-- The horse that could not win more than 30% of his races, as all solid favorites do.
-- A horse that disappointed more than 3 times as the favorite, in his last 10 races.
-- A horse that is a closer, running on a speed biased track, or a speed horse running
on a heavy track.
Bottom line is that you can make a living just by betting the favorite in the right horse
race, but you have to have the patience and discipline to wait for the right race and
circumstances to appear.
And appear they will. Believe us. You'll just have to wait.
Save your money and when the time comes, then go for it.














5) Betting The Beaten Favorite
A beaten favorite is a horse which in his very last race was made the favorite, and for
whatever reason he or she managed to lose the race.
The horse might have come in last or even come in the money, but did not win the
race.
This beaten favorite is marked by an asterisk (*), to the left of his odds in his or hers
last race, on the horse's pp line.
These beaten favorites can only be bet in their next race.
Next race means the race immediately following their last race, in which they took the
beating.
It makes sense to bet these horses only if they go off at higher odds than their last
race.
Us and other professional horse players, bet these horses that way.
If the horse is made the favorite again in his next race, after the losing race, we and
others would not bet the horse.
Whatever the reasons were for losing the last race it does not justify betting the
horse at low or very low odds.
In the horse's last race, he was made the favorite for a reason.
Today, if the horse is running at about the same conditions as the last race, he or
she is an even better betting proposition, as long as the odds are higher, than the
last race.
The betting public has a short memory and usually tend to dismiss the horse the next
time out, after being made the favorite in his last race, therefore letting him go off at
higher odds today.
If they liked the horse so much as to make him the favorite in his last, and especially if
conditions remain about the same today, why wouldn't they make him the favorite
again?
Maybe there is a better horse in the race today, or maybe they just simply overlooked
the horse.
Whatever the reason, this is the bottom line...bet the beaten favorite at high odds,
today.
By high odds we mean at least 7/1 or better. Now, if the horse was even money or
below in his/hers last, and today is 4/1 or 5/1 or higher, then by all means bet him.
Bet these horses to win and place.
Twice as much to place than to win. For example $40 to place and $20 to win.
Of course the exact amount you bet, should be done by money management
methods, according to your betting budget.
You can bet on this angle alone.















6) Horse Dropping In Class
There are class drops within the ranks and outside of the ranks.
Within the ranks means, for example, from Allowance 50,000 to Allowance 25,000, or
from Claiming 50,000 to Claiming 25,000.
In other words from higher quality horses to lower quality ones.
Outside of the ranks means, for example, from Allowance of any dollar amount, to a
Claiming race of any dollar amount. Or from Stake races to Allowance or Claiming
races.
By dropping a horse in class, the trainer is seeking a suitable spot for the horse to
win, since the horse apparently cannot win at the higher class level.
The drop from Allowance ranks to the Claiming ranks is a huge drop.
It also means that the horse is up for sale now.
The trainer is taking a chance that someone may buy the horse from him (claiming it),
therefore losing the horse. Or maybe the trainer does want to get rid of the horse.
Small drops within ranks does not mean the trainer wants to get rid of the horse, but
bigger drops, like from 40,000 claiming to 15,000 claiming, does.
The biggest class drop in horse racing is the drop from Maiden Special Weights to
Maiden Claiming.
The trainer thinks that the horse might win in the maiden claiming ranks, having no
choice, but to put him there, hoping nobody takes the horse away from him, or he's
really fed up with the horse, and wants to get rid of him.
Regardless the reason, a horse dropping from MSW (Maiden Special Weights) to MCL
(Maiden Claiming), should show a marked improvement in his racing ability.
Weather the horse showed anything or not, in his MSW races, this drop warrants an
automatic win bet on the horse.
And so is the drop from Allowance ranks to Claiming ranks.
Remember to look for horses dropping in class for the first time and going off at long
odds only!
You can bet these horses on this angle alone.
This
trainer angle becomes much more powerful if there is a positive jockey change,
or if the horse exited a key race.















7) Horse Switching Back In Class (this title is also a link to our new site- similar
subject)
Example: A horse made a very good effort in a 20k claiming race.
The trainer decided to put the horse in a 40k claiming race as his next race.
In that particular 40k claiming race, the horse also put up a good effort, but managed
to lose the race.
Today, the trainer is entering the horse back into a 20k claiming race, where originally
the horse made a very good effort.
The fact that the horse managed to show an interest in the 40k claiming race,
indicates that he was capable of running with better horses, and now he switches
back to face weaker horses again.
That last race in the 40k claimer, was a tightener for the horse, and now the trainer
knows that the horse is ready to go for a win effort, in today's 20k claiming affair.
There should not be more than 30 days between today's race and his last race (the
40k race).
Make sure the horse goes off today, at least at odds of 7/1 or better.
You can bet on this angle alone.















8) The Class Drop Down
These are horses dropping down in class from a higher claiming price to a lower one.
This horse racing angle works best with claimers at any claiming level.
It is best if there is only one horse in the field with this pattern.
If there are up to 3 horses in the field with the same pattern then pick the one with
the biggest drop.
For example, if today's race is a $20,000 claimer and two horses ran for $30,000 tags
as their lowest level in their last 10 races, and the 3rd horse ran for $40,000 tag as
his/her lowest level, then pick the $40,000 horse.
If there are 4 or more horses that are dropping in class as explained below, then skip
the race.
Look at the horse's last 10 races and notice the lowest claiming price that the horse
has ran at.
If the horse drops today at least $5,000 below that price then play him or her to win
only or use the horse on top of your exotic bets.
The horse becomes an even better bet if his/her races at the higher levels show some
signs of life.
You may bet on this angle alone, as with other
trainer angles!














9)(this title is also a link to our new site- similar subject) Horse Switching Distances
In this article you will learn about distance changes and distance switches.
There is a difference between the two.
A distance change means, for example a horse has been running in sprints and now
he changes to a route race for the first time.
A distance switch means that the horse has been running in sprints for example,
goes on to run one or more route races, and then returns to sprints again, where he
was more successful than in routes.
You have to see if the horse's sprint races were of better quality, compared to his
route races.
If he's good at sprints and has one or two route races, and the route races are a
complete flop, it means that the trainer just wanted to tighten up the horse in those
route races, and now he is returning the horse back to a sprint race, where he really
belongs and can excel.
The public will notice his last race or two in a route, ignoring the horse's successful
sprint races, thereby letting the horse go off at long odds.
You can bet on this angle alone. It works.

















We hope you've enjoyed the "18 Angles" light eBook, which is also part of the
"
Horse Racing Angles" eBook that sells for just $7.95 (3 eBook Combo in One)!


There are 9 free trainer angles on this page and the other 9 free angles are  
on our new website Horse Racing Picks & Tips on the following page:


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